CanberraHard1/16-finals6 Jan 2026 · 00:40
R. Carballes Baena
#204 · Spain
VS
C. Smith
#193 · USA
BAENA
2.39
·
SMITH
1.62

Odds

Market
Baena
Smith
Winner
2.39
1.62

Player analysis

R. Carballes Baena comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.4, meaning R. Carballes Baena has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving R. Carballes Baena vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Carballes Baena has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.

DS -0.36Trend mixed

C. Smith comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -11.5, meaning C. Smith has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving C. Smith vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Smith has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -35 over recent matches.

DS -11.46Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Baena
Stat
Smith
41.7%
Win rate
62.5%
68–95
W–L
50–30

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces2
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved40%
Aces6
Double faults2