Rio de JaneiroClay1/16-finals18 Feb 2026 · 01:30
J. Faria
#157 · Portugal
VS
S. Baez
#52 · Argentina
FARIA
4.7
·
BAEZ
1.23

Odds

Market
Faria
Baez
Winner
4.7
1.23
Total
line 17.0
1.14
Over 17.0
4.45
Under 17.0
Total
line 17.5
1.28
Over 17.5
3.2
Under 17.5
Handicap
games
3.54
-2.0 games
1.26
+2 games
Handicap
games
3.14
-2.5 games
1.32
+2.5 games

Player analysis

J. Faria comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.1, meaning J. Faria has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving J. Faria vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -2.13Trend up

S. Baez has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.6. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving S. Baez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +17 over the last five.

DS 6.59Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLLWLW

2W 3L last 5

10 MarMarcondes7-6 4-6 5-7L
4 MarRibeiro6-7 4-6L
2 MarCadenasso7-6 3-6 7-6W
20 FebEtcheverry7-6 6-4L
19 FebDzumhur6-7 4-6W
Recent form bar chartLWWLW

3W 2L last 5

10 MarMedvedev6-4 6-0L
8 MarLehecka6-4 6-1W
5 MarTseng3-6 2-6W
28 FebDarderi4-6 3-6L
28 FebTabilo6-7 1-6W

Clay court stats

Faria
Stat
Baez
51.8%
Win rate
68%
59–55
W–L
168–79

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces8
Double faults6
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved80%
Aces0
Double faults2