J. Faria has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.2 to 14.3, with at least one match where J. Faria was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving J. Faria vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

H. Hurkacz comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.9, meaning H. Hurkacz has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving H. Hurkacz vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.