Odds
Player analysis
S. Baez comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.5, meaning S. Baez has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving S. Baez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.
B. Van De Zandschulp has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving B. Van De Zandschulp vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +17 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 6 Apr | Wawrinka | 7-5 7-5 | W |
| 3 Apr | Droguet | 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 31 Mar | Gaubas | 6-3 6-1 | W |
| 20 Mar | Walton | 6-2 6-2 | L |
| 10 Mar | Medvedev | 6-4 6-0 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 4 Apr | Navone | 5-7 7-6 7-5 | L |
| 3 Apr | Dzumhur | 3-6 3-6 | W |
| 1 Apr | Shevchenko | 5-7 1-6 | W |
| 31 Mar | Maestrelli | 3-6 2-6 | W |
| 20 Mar | Fritz | 3-6 7-6 3-6 | L |

