ATP Indian WellsHard1/16-finals10 Mar 2026 · 04:30
D. Medvedev
#10 · Russia
VS
S. Baez
#64 · Argentina
MEDVEDEV
1.16
·
BAEZ
6.28

Odds

Market
Medvedev
Baez
Winner
1.16
6.28
Total
line 16.5
1.12
Over 16.5
4.75
Under 16.5
Total
line 17.0
1.14
Over 17.0
4.3
Under 17.0
Handicap
games
8.4
-8.5 games
1.04
+8.5 games
Handicap
games
7.8
-8.0 games
1.06
+8 games

Player analysis

D. Medvedev comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.4, meaning D. Medvedev has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving D. Medvedev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Medvedev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -10 over recent matches.

DS -6.43Trend mixed

S. Baez comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.5, meaning S. Baez has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving S. Baez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -8.53Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Medvedev
Stat
Baez
72.6%
Win rate
42.7%
378–143
W–L
47–63

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults5
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults1