MiamiHardATP Final17 Mar 2026 · 20:20
N. Basilashvili
#124 · Georgia
VS
S. Shimabukuro
#112 · Japan
BASILASHVILI
2.12
·
SHIMABUKURO
1.76

Odds

Market
Basilashvili
Shimabukuro
Winner
2.12
1.76
Total
line 19.0
1.28
Over 19.0
3.05
Under 19.0
Total
line 19.5
1.39
Over 19.5
2.59
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
1.73
-2.0 games
1.97
+2 games
Handicap
games
1.67
-2.5 games
2.2
+2.5 games

Player analysis

N. Basilashvili has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.2, meaning N. Basilashvili has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving N. Basilashvili vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -3.16Trend mixed

S. Shimabukuro comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.0, meaning S. Shimabukuro has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving S. Shimabukuro vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Shimabukuro has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -26 over recent matches.

DS -8.04Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Basilashvili
Stat
Shimabukuro
51.3%
Win rate
58.8%
213–202
W–L
163–114

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %50%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults4