Odds
Player analysis
M. Trungelliti arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -0.4 to 15.9, with at least one match where M. Trungelliti was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.
F. Bax comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.5, meaning F. Bax has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving F. Bax vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — F. Bax has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.
Recent form
5W 0L last 5
| 15 Mar | Cecchinato | 4-6 6-0 6-3 | W |
| 14 Mar | Kolar | 6-3 6-3 | W |
| 13 Mar | Houkes | 6-7 7-6 6-3 | W |
| 11 Mar | Forejtek | 7-6 4-6 7-6 | W |
| 9 Mar | Tiffon | 6-4 6-2 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 10 Mar | Neuchrist | 6-7 7-6 6-7 | L |
| 4 Mar | Trungelliti | 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 2 Mar | Pennaforti | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 30 Jan | Michalski | 6-2 6-4 | L |
| 27 Jan | Sun | 2-6 6-3 6-4 | W |

