Odds
Player analysis
R. Berankis comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.5, meaning R. Berankis has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Berankis has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -38 over recent matches.
N. Budkov Kjaer has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -18.4 to 37.5, with at least one match where N. Budkov Kjaer was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving N. Budkov Kjaer vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 26 Oct | Karol | 2-6 3-6 | L |
| 19 Oct | Vatutin | 4-6 6-7 | L |
| 3 Aug | Knitter | 6-2 6-4 | W |
| 1 Aug | Kjaer | 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 31 Jul | Castelnuovo | 7-6 4-6 6-4 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 27 Apr | Medvedev | 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 25 Apr | Shapovalov | 6-2 6-1 | W |
| 21 Apr | Echargui | 1-6 0-6 | W |
| 20 Apr | Maestrelli | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 11 Apr | Trungelliti | 6-4 4-6 6-4 | L |

