Odds
Player analysis
D. Medvedev comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.9, meaning D. Medvedev has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving D. Medvedev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
N. Budkov Kjaer has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -3.0 to 37.5, with at least one match where N. Budkov Kjaer was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving N. Budkov Kjaer vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +20 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 25 Apr | Marozsan | 6-2 6-7 6-4 | W |
| 8 Apr | Berrettini | 0-6 0-6 | L |
| 23 Mar | Cerundolo | 6-0 4-6 7-5 | L |
| 21 Mar | Sakamoto | 7-6 3-6 1-6 | W |
| 15 Mar | Sinner | 6-7 6-7 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 25 Apr | Shapovalov | 6-2 6-1 | W |
| 21 Apr | Echargui | 1-6 0-6 | W |
| 20 Apr | Maestrelli | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 11 Apr | Trungelliti | 6-4 4-6 6-4 | L |
| 4 Apr | Dzumhur | 7-6 7-5 | L |

