Odds
Player analysis
R. Berankis comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.5, meaning R. Berankis has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Berankis has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -38 over recent matches.
F. Pieczonka has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.8, meaning F. Pieczonka has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving F. Pieczonka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 26 Oct | Karol | 2-6 3-6 | L |
| 19 Oct | Vatutin | 4-6 6-7 | L |
| 3 Aug | Knitter | 6-2 6-4 | W |
| 1 Aug | Kjaer | 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 31 Jul | Castelnuovo | 7-6 4-6 6-4 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 17 Mar | Gill | 6-3 3-6 7-6 | L |
| 16 Mar | Yevseyev | 6-7 6-0 3-6 | W |
| 15 Mar | Janvier | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 8 Feb | Ibrahim | 5-7 2-6 | W |
| 2 Feb | Faurel | 6-3 6-2 | L |

