Odds
Player analysis
R. Berankis comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.5, meaning R. Berankis has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Berankis has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -38 over recent matches.
M. Poljicak shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 524. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.5 to 63.1, with at least one match where M. Poljicak was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving M. Poljicak vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Poljicak has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -25 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 26 Oct | Karol | 2-6 3-6 | L |
| 19 Oct | Vatutin | 4-6 6-7 | L |
| 3 Aug | Knitter | 6-2 6-4 | W |
| 1 Aug | Kjaer | 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 31 Jul | Castelnuovo | 7-6 4-6 6-4 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 28 Apr | Orlov | 2-6 6-2 4-6 | W |
| 21 Apr | Ghibaudo | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 20 Apr | Klok | 6-4 7-5 | W |
| 19 Apr | Lomakin | 6-0 6-0 | W |
| 3 Apr | Giustino | 6-2 3-6 6-2 | W |

