Odds
Player analysis
Z. Bergs comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.1, meaning Z. Bergs has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving Z. Bergs vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — Z. Bergs has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -35 over recent matches.
K. Khachanov comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.9 to 14.0, with at least one match where K. Khachanov was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — K. Khachanov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 21 Mar | Etcheverry | 6-7 6-7 | L |
| 19 Mar | Brooksby | 7-5 6-2 | W |
| 7 Mar | Paul | 1-6 2-6 | L |
| 4 Mar | Struff | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 24 Feb | Brooksby | 3-6 4-6 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 22 Mar | Landaluce | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 20 Mar | Bautista-Agut | 3-6 3-6 | W |
| 7 Mar | Fonseca | 6-4 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 25 Feb | Brooksby | 7-6 6-4 | L |
| 24 Feb | Shevchenko | 7-6 2-6 3-6 | W |

