Z. Bergs has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.1, meaning Z. Bergs has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving Z. Bergs vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — Z. Bergs has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -27 over recent matches.

A. Rublev comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -2.1 to 17.1, with at least one match where A. Rublev was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Rublev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Rublev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.