Odds
Player analysis
Matteo Berrettini, ranked 90 from Italy, faces João Fonseca in the Monte Carlo first-round claycourt clash. The Italian has struggled recently with three losses in his last five matches, including defeats to Alexei Popyrin and Alexander Zverev, though he showed glimpses of form with wins over Alexei Bublik and Alexander Muller. Berrettini enters as the betting underdog at 2.27 decimal odds on Pinnacle, facing a first career meeting with the Brazilian opponent on the slow Monte Carlo surface.
João Fonseca, the 40th-ranked Brazilian, arrives at Monte Carlo with mixed recent form across his last five outings, posting a 3–2 record with wins over Tommy Paul and Félix Marozsan balanced against losses to Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner. The young talent is favored at 1.69 decimal odds, reflecting his higher ranking and recent wins on the ATP circuit. Fonseca and Berrettini meet for the first time with no prior head-to-head record on the ATP tour.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 8 Apr | Medvedev | 0-6 0-6 | W |
| 31 Mar | Buse | 7-6 6-7 6-4 | L |
| 23 Mar | Vacherot | 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 20 Mar | Bublik | 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 19 Mar | Muller | 4-6 2-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 8 Apr | Rinderknech | 7-5 4-6 6-3 | W |
| 6 Apr | Diallo | 6-2 6-3 | W |
| 21 Mar | Alcaraz | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 19 Mar | Marozsan | 4-6 6-3 2-6 | W |
| 11 Mar | Sinner | 6-7 6-7 | L |