Odds
Player analysis
M. Berrettini comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.1, meaning M. Berrettini has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.
A. De Minaur comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.6, meaning A. De Minaur has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. De Minaur vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. De Minaur has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 21 Mar | Tsitsipas | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 9 Mar | Norrie | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 8 Mar | Korda | 6-4 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 24 Feb | Kypson | 6-1 6-7 7-6 | L |
| 15 Feb | Minaur | 6-3 6-2 | L |
4W 1L last 5
| 31 Mar | Buse | 7-6 6-7 6-4 | L |
| 23 Mar | Berrettini | 6-7 4-6 | W |
| 20 Mar | Bublik | 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 19 Mar | Muller | 4-6 2-6 | W |
| 6 Mar | Berrettini | 3-6 4-6 | W |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vienna | Indoor | Quarter-finals | Minaur | 6-1 7-6 | |
| Miami | Hard | 1/8-finals | Berrettini | 3-6 6-7 | |
| ATP Wimbledon | Grass | 1/32-finals | Berrettini | 6-3 6-4 6-4 | |
| ATP ATP Cup | Hard | Minaur | 3-6 6-7 | ||
| London | Grass | Semi-finals | Berrettini | 6-4 6-4 |