Odds
Player analysis
M. Berrettini comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.1, meaning M. Berrettini has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.
L. Musetti has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -17.1 to 17.6, with at least one match where L. Musetti was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving L. Musetti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 31 Mar | Buse | 7-6 6-7 6-4 | L |
| 23 Mar | Vacherot | 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 20 Mar | Bublik | 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 19 Mar | Muller | 4-6 2-6 | W |
| 6 Mar | Zverev | 3-6 4-6 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 6 Mar | Fucsovics | 5-7 1-6 | L |
| 26 Jan | Fritz | 6-2 7-5 6-4 | W |
| 24 Jan | Machac | 5-7 6-4 6-2 5-7 6-2 | W |
| 22 Jan | Sonego | 6-3 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 11 Jan | Bublik | 6-7 3-6 | L |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monte Carlo | Clay | 1/8-finals | Musetti | 3-6 3-6 | |
| ATP Stuttgart | Clay | Semi-finals | Berrettini | 4-6 0-6 | |
| Napoli | Hard | Final | Musetti | 7-6 6-2 |