M. Berrettini comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -24.2 to 49.3, with at least one match where M. Berrettini was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving M. Berrettini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

J. Rodionov shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 263. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.0. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving J. Rodionov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+30) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.