P. Llamas Ruiz has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +2.5 with a downward trend. P. Llamas Ruiz is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving P. Llamas Ruiz vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +20 over the last five.

J. Berrettini comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.4, meaning J. Berrettini has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving J. Berrettini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Berrettini has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -26 over recent matches.