Oeiras 2ClaySemi-finals25 Jan 2026 · 15:10
J. Berrettini
#304 · Italy
VS
M. Vrbensky
#568 · Czech Republic
BERRETTINI
1.61
·
VRBENSKY
2.37

Odds

Market
Berrettini
Vrbensky
Winner
1.61
2.37
Total
line 21.0
1.74
Over 21.0
2.11
Under 21.0
Total
line 21.5
1.83
Over 21.5
1.98
Under 21.5
Handicap
games
2.2
-3.5 games
1.67
+3.5 games
Handicap
games
2.06
-3.0 games
1.76
+3 games

Player analysis

J. Berrettini comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.4, meaning J. Berrettini has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving J. Berrettini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Berrettini has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -26 over recent matches.

DS -4.43Trend up

M. Vrbensky comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.5, meaning M. Vrbensky has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving M. Vrbensky vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Vrbensky has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.

DS -5.5Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLLLLW

1W 4L last 5

10 MarGentzsch2-6 6-4 6-2L
2 MarRybakov1-6 6-4 6-4L
24 FebLajal6-3 6-1L
11 FebRuiz6-2 6-2L
9 FebVasami6-3 6-3W
Recent form bar chartWLLWL

2W 3L last 5

15 MarPaulson4-6 7-5 6-7W
22 FebLokoli7-6 3-6 0-6L
16 FebDodig6-4 7-5L
15 FebBertrand6-4 6-3W
26 JanTorre2-6 3-6L

Clay court stats

Berrettini
Stat
Vrbensky
55%
Win rate
58.6%
126–103
W–L
164–116

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults5
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults3