Odds
Player analysis
Ch. Negritu shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 320. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -4.9 to 13.8, with at least one match where Ch. Negritu was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.
M. Vrbensky comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.5, meaning M. Vrbensky has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving M. Vrbensky vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Vrbensky has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 15 Mar | Perez | 6-3 7-6 | W |
| 7 Feb | Gentzsch | 7-6 7-6 | L |
| 6 Feb | Added | 6-7 7-5 6-4 | W |
| 4 Feb | Colson | 7-6 7-6 | W |
| 2 Feb | Geerts | 6-2 3-6 6-7 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 15 Mar | Paulson | 4-6 7-5 6-7 | W |
| 22 Feb | Lokoli | 7-6 3-6 0-6 | L |
| 16 Feb | Dodig | 6-4 7-5 | L |
| 15 Feb | Bertrand | 6-4 6-3 | W |
| 26 Jan | Torre | 2-6 3-6 | L |

