MurciaClayFinal16 Mar 2026 · 11:00
Ch. Negritu
#424 · Germany
VS
M. Vrbensky
#568 · Czech Republic
NEGRITU
1.645
·
VRBENSKY
2.3

Odds

Market
Negritu
Vrbensky
Change
Winner
1.645
2.3
Total
line 22.5
1.98
Over 22.5
1.813
Under 22.5
Total
line 22.0
1.847
Over 22.0
1.98
Under 22.0
Handicap
games
2.22
-3.0 games
1.65
+3 games
Handicap
games
1.91
-2.5 games
1.78
+2.5 games

Player analysis

Ch. Negritu shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 320. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -4.9 to 13.8, with at least one match where Ch. Negritu was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS 2.56Trend mixed

M. Vrbensky comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.5, meaning M. Vrbensky has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving M. Vrbensky vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Vrbensky has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.

DS -5.5Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartWLWWW

4W 1L last 5

15 MarPerez6-3 7-6W
7 FebGentzsch7-6 7-6L
6 FebAdded6-7 7-5 6-4W
4 FebColson7-6 7-6W
2 FebGeerts6-2 3-6 6-7W
Recent form bar chartWLLWL

2W 3L last 5

15 MarPaulson4-6 7-5 6-7W
22 FebLokoli7-6 3-6 0-6L
16 FebDodig6-4 7-5L
15 FebBertrand6-4 6-3W
26 JanTorre2-6 3-6L

Clay court stats

Negritu
Stat
Vrbensky
55.4%
Win rate
58.6%
82–66
W–L
164–116

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
BP saved80%
Aces11
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults3