MadridClay24 Apr 2026 · 11:00
J. Sinner
#1 · Italy
VS
B. Bonzi
#104 · France

Odds

Market
Sinner
Bonzi
Change
Winner
Total
line 14.5
1.06
Over 14.5
6.25
Under 14.5
Total
line 15.0
1.08
Over 15.0
5.75
Under 15.0
Handicap
games
5.95
-9.0 games
1.1
+9 games
Handicap
games
3.1
-8.0 games
1.33
+8 games

Player analysis

J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-17 opposition. Serve quality has been average (6.9/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

DS 18.51Trend mixed

B. Bonzi has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.4. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving B. Bonzi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+29) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 5.42Trend down

Recent form

Clay court stats

Sinner
Stat
Bonzi
71.8%
Win rate
47.7%
89–35
W–L
62–68

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted60%
BP saved70%
Aces3
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved80%
Aces3
Double faults1