Monte CarloClay1/8-finals9 Apr 2026 · 12:30
T. Machac
#53 · Czech Republic
VS
J. Sinner
#2 · Italy
MACHAC
17.66
·
SINNER
1.036
1.039

Odds

Market
Machac
Sinner
Change
Winner
17.66
1.036
0.00
Total
line 17.5
1.65
Over 17.5
2.11
Under 17.5
Total
line 18.5
2.1
Over 18.5
1.77
Under 18.5
Handicap
games
2.31
+6.0 games
1.649
-6 games
Handicap
games
1.562
+7.0 games
2.52
-7 games

Player analysis

T. Machac has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.3, meaning T. Machac has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving T. Machac vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. Machac has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -27 over recent matches.

DS -0.3Trend up

J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-21 opposition. Serve quality has been average (7.0/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS 15.34Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Machac
Stat
Sinner
59.3%
Win rate
71.8%
54–37
W–L
89–35

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved30%
Aces4
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won90%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
Aces12
Double faults1
BP saved80%

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

03
Hard 03
T. Machac vs J. Sinner head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
DohaHard1/16-finalsSinner1-6 4-6
ATP ShanghaiHardSemi-finalsSinner6-4 7-5
ATP MiamiHardQuarter-finalsSinner4-6 2-6