MiamiHard1/64-finals19 Mar 2026 · 19:30
R. Opelka
#67 · USA
VS
N. Borges
#50 · Portugal
OPELKA
1.83
·
BORGES
2.06

Odds

Market
Opelka
Borges
Winner
1.83
2.06
Total
line 22.5
1.28
Over 22.5
3.08
Under 22.5
Total
line 23.0
1.48
Over 23.0
2.67
Under 23.0
Handicap
games
1.15
-3.5 games
4.9
+3.5 games
Handicap
games
1.25
-3.0 games
3.42
+3 games

Player analysis

R. Opelka has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -18.9 to 11.8, with at least one match where R. Opelka was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (7.0/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Opelka has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.

DS 0.02Trend mixed

N. Borges comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.0, meaning N. Borges has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving N. Borges vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -6.04Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Opelka
Stat
Borges
56.6%
Win rate
63%
154–118
W–L
121–71

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP saved80%
Aces20
Double faults3
BP converted40%
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces7
Double faults3