Odds
Player analysis
L. Bronzetti comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.8, meaning L. Bronzetti has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving L. Bronzetti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Bronzetti has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.
J. Ostapenko has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.0, meaning J. Ostapenko has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving J. Ostapenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 11 Apr | Sakatsume | 6-7 2-6 | L |
| 24 Mar | Kalinina | 7-5 0-6 6-2 | L |
| 11 Mar | Brancaccio | 1-6 5-7 | L |
| 5 Mar | Uchijima | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 4 Mar | Cengiz | 4-6 4-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 10 Apr | Ruse | 6-4 4-6 1-6 | L |
| 8 Apr | Eala | 6-4 7-5 | W |
| 23 Mar | Baptiste | 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 22 Mar | Paolini | 5-7 6-2 7-5 | W |
| 20 Mar | Yastremska | 6-4 6-4 | W |

