Odds
Player analysis
A. Bublik comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.6 to 10.9, with at least one match where A. Bublik was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.
T. Paul shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 47. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +4.6 with a downward trend. T. Paul is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving T. Paul vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 20 Mar | Berrettini | 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 9 Mar | Hijikata | 7-6 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 8 Mar | Kopriva | 3-6 7-6 6-2 | W |
| 25 Feb | Griekspoor | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 24 Feb | Struff | 3-6 4-6 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 5 Apr | Burruchaga | 1-6 6-3 5-7 | W |
| 4 Apr | Tiafoe | 7-5 4-6 7-6 | W |
| 3 Apr | Etcheverry | 4-6 2-6 | W |
| 2 Apr | Vallejo | 6-3 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 26 Mar | Fils | 7-6 6-7 6-7 | L |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Open | Hard | 1/16-finals | Bublik | 7-6 6-7 6-3 6-7 6-1 | |
| Miami | Hard | 1/32-finals | Paul | 7-5 5-7 4-6 | |
| ATP Wimbledon | Grass | 1/16-finals | Paul | 6-3 6-4 6-2 | |
| Rotterdam | Indoor | ATP 1/8-finals | Paul | 7-6 3-6 1-6 | |
| Playford | Hard | 1/16-finals | Paul | 1-6 6-4 7-5 |

