WTA MeridaHardSemi-finals1 Mar 2026 · 04:00
J. Paolini
Italy
VS
C. Bucsa
Spain
PAOLINI
1.41
·
BUCSA
3.16

Odds

Market
Paolini
Bucsa
Winner
1.41
3.16

Player analysis

J. Paolini has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.7 to 8.0, with at least one match where J. Paolini was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving J. Paolini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.24Trend mixed

C. Bucsa shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is unknown. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -30.1 to 18.9, with at least one match where C. Bucsa was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving C. Bucsa vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +10 over the last five.

DS 3.58Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWLW

3W 2L last 5

10 MarGibson7-5 2-6 6-1L
8 MarTomljanovic5-7 7-5 1-6W
6 MarPotapova7-6 2-6 3-6W
1 MarBucsa5-7 4-6L
28 FebBoulter0-6 6-3 6-3W
Recent form bar chartLWWWW

4W 1L last 5

8 MarMertens6-2 6-1L
5 MarVidmanova6-4 6-0W
2 MarFrech6-1 4-6 6-4W
1 MarPaolini5-7 4-6W
28 FebSonmez3-6 4-6W

Hard court stats

Paolini
Stat
Bucsa
54.2%
Win rate
56.5%
147–124
W–L
134–103

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces0
Double faults2