Odds
Player analysis
G. Bueno shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 460. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.4 to 18.6, with at least one match where G. Bueno was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving G. Bueno vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.
C. Garin has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.0. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving C. Garin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Garin has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 11 Apr | Midon | 5-7 6-3 6-1 | W |
| 10 Apr | Casanova | 3-6 6-2 7-6 | W |
| 9 Apr | Ratti | 6-2 6-2 | W |
| 7 Apr | Fernandez | 6-2 7-5 | W |
| 30 Mar | Santos | 6-2 3-6 6-4 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 8 Apr | Zverev | 6-4 4-6 5-7 | L |
| 6 Apr | Arnaldi | 6-2 6-4 | W |
| 5 Apr | Basilashvili | 5-7 0-6 | W |
| 4 Apr | Jong | 7-5 1-6 6-1 | W |
| 16 Mar | Draxl | 6-4 4-6 2-6 | L |

