MiamiHardATP Semi-finals16 Mar 2026 · 21:10
C. Garin
#109 · Chile
VS
L. Draxl
#144 · Canada
GARIN
1.79
·
DRAXL
2.08

Odds

Market
Garin
Draxl
Winner
1.79
2.08
Total
line 20.0
1.32
Over 20.0
2.88
Under 20.0
Total
line 20.5
1.43
Over 20.5
2.46
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
3.12
-4.0 games
1.29
+4 games
Handicap
games
2.54
-3.5 games
1.43
+3.5 games

Player analysis

C. Garin comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.1 to 14.5, with at least one match where C. Garin was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving C. Garin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 0.76Trend mixed

L. Draxl has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +1.9 with a downward trend. L. Draxl is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving L. Draxl vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.93Trend down

Recent form

Hard court stats

Garin
Stat
Draxl
47%
Win rate
66.7%
79–89
W–L
164–82

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces5
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces6
Double faults4