A. Moro Canas has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.2. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Moro Canas vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Moro Canas has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -25 over recent matches.

L. Giustino comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.4, meaning L. Giustino has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving L. Giustino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +24 over the last five.