Odds
Player analysis
C. Ugo Carabelli comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.2, meaning C. Ugo Carabelli has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving C. Ugo Carabelli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Ugo Carabelli has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.
J. M. Cerundolo has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -18.4 to 21.9, with at least one match where J. M. Cerundolo was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving J. M. Cerundolo vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 4 Apr | Jodar | 6-2 6-1 | L |
| 3 Apr | Assche | 0-6 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 2 Apr | Buse | 3-6 6-3 5-7 | W |
| 31 Mar | Skatov | 7-6 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 21 Mar | Korda | 0-6 3-6 | L |
4W 1L last 5
| 12 Apr | Jong | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 11 Apr | Zeppieri | 6-1 7-5 | W |
| 6 Apr | Vacherot | 5-7 6-2 6-1 | L |
| 5 Apr | Martinez | 6-2 2-6 6-3 | W |
| 4 Apr | Nys | 6-3 6-3 | W |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosario | Clay | Semi-finals | Carabelli | 7-5 6-1 | |
| Lima 2 Challenger Men | Clay | Quarter-finals | Cerundolo | 1-6 1-6 | |
| Villa Maria Challenger Men | Clay | Semi-finals | Carabelli | 6-4 6-2 | |
| ATP Santiago | Clay | Semi-finals | Cerundolo | 1-6 6-7 | |
| Antofagasta Challenger Men | Clay | 1/8-finals | Carabelli | 6-7 6-3 2-6 | |
| Buenos Aires 2 | Clay | Final | Cerundolo | 6-4 2-6 7-5 | |
| Luedenscheid | Clay | Quarter-finals | Cerundolo | 3-6 6-3 6-2 |

