Odds
Player analysis
R. Hijikata comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +0.4 with a downward trend. R. Hijikata is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving R. Hijikata vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Hijikata has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -21 over recent matches.
C. Ugo Carabelli has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.8, meaning C. Ugo Carabelli has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving C. Ugo Carabelli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 3 Apr | Tiafoe | 4-6 6-3 2-6 | L |
| 1 Apr | Kovacevic | 4-6 2-6 | W |
| 17 Mar | Sweeny | 3-6 2-6 | W |
| 17 Mar | Walton | 6-3 6-7 6-1 | L |
| 11 Mar | Norrie | 4-6 2-6 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 4 Apr | Jodar | 6-2 6-1 | L |
| 3 Apr | Assche | 0-6 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 2 Apr | Buse | 3-6 6-3 5-7 | W |
| 31 Mar | Skatov | 7-6 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 21 Mar | Korda | 0-6 3-6 | L |

