HangzhouHard1/16-finals19 Sep 2025 · 05:40
R. Hijikata
#100 · Australia
VS
C. Ugo Carabelli
#63 · Argentina
HIJIKATA
1.5
·
CARABELLI
2.74

Odds

Market
Hijikata
Carabelli
Winner
1.5
2.74
Total
line 18.5
1.23
Over 18.5
3.6
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.0
1.32
Over 19.0
2.99
Under 19.0
Handicap
games
5.1
-6.0 games
1.15
+6 games
Handicap
games
3.55
-5.5 games
1.27
+5.5 games

Player analysis

R. Hijikata comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +0.4 with a downward trend. R. Hijikata is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving R. Hijikata vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Hijikata has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -21 over recent matches.

DS 0.39Trend down

C. Ugo Carabelli has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.8, meaning C. Ugo Carabelli has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving C. Ugo Carabelli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -8.81Trend down

Recent form

Hard court stats

Hijikata
Stat
Carabelli
61.5%
Win rate
40%
187–117
W–L
20–30

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted20%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults1