ATP Indian WellsHard1/32-finals6 Mar 2026 · 23:55
B. Nakashima
#32 · USA
VS
C. Ugo Carabelli
#57 · Argentina
NAKASHIMA
1.2
·
CARABELLI
5.08

Odds

Market
Nakashima
Carabelli
Winner
1.2
5.08

Player analysis

B. Nakashima comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -16.3 to 15.2, with at least one match where B. Nakashima was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving B. Nakashima vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — B. Nakashima has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -28 over recent matches.

DS 0.92Trend mixed

C. Ugo Carabelli comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.2, meaning C. Ugo Carabelli has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving C. Ugo Carabelli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Ugo Carabelli has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.

DS -3.24Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Nakashima
Stat
Carabelli
63.1%
Win rate
40%
197–115
W–L
20–30

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved30%
Aces5
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved70%
Aces2
Double faults1