Odds
Player analysis
C. Ugo Carabelli comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.2, meaning C. Ugo Carabelli has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving C. Ugo Carabelli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Ugo Carabelli has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.
M. Damm has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.5, meaning M. Damm has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 25 Apr | Cobolli | 7-6 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 23 Apr | Monfils | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 15 Apr | Jodar | 6-3 6-3 | L |
| 14 Apr | Khachanov | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 4 Apr | Jodar | 6-2 6-1 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 25 Apr | Mensik | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 23 Apr | Popyrin | 6-7 4-6 | W |
| 21 Apr | Garin | 6-2 4-6 6-7 | W |
| 20 Apr | Pellegrino | 0-6 6-7 | W |
| 7 Apr | Rybakov | 3-6 7-6 6-3 | L |

