HoustonClay1/16-finals31 Mar 2026 · 23:25
M. Damm
#127 · USA
VS
B. Nakashima
#33 · USA
DAMM
3.63
·
NAKASHIMA
1.327

Odds

Market
Damm
Nakashima
Winner
3.63
1.327
Total
line 23.5
2.12
Over 23.5
1.65
Under 23.5
Total
line 22.5
1.83
Over 22.5
1.87
Under 22.5
Handicap
games
1.96
+3.0 games
1.77
-3 games
Handicap
games
1.41
+4.5 games
2.7
-4.5 games

Player analysis

M. Damm comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -12.7, meaning M. Damm has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving M. Damm vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Damm has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.

DS -12.68Trend up

B. Nakashima comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.4. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — B. Nakashima has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -37 over recent matches.

DS 5.42Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Damm
Stat
Nakashima
49.4%
Win rate
50.7%
40–41
W–L
38–37

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces10
Double faults5
1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved30%
Aces10
Double faults1