Odds
Player analysis
P. Carreno-Busta shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 272. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.5, meaning P. Carreno-Busta has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving P. Carreno-Busta vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
E. Coulibaly comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.5, meaning E. Coulibaly has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving E. Coulibaly vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Coulibaly has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -30 over recent matches.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 29 Mar | Ruiz | 4-6 2-6 | L |
| 28 Mar | Ofner | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 27 Mar | Martinez | 4-6 6-4 4-6 | W |
| 26 Mar | Quilez | 6-3 5-7 3-6 | W |
| 24 Mar | Gulin | 5-7 1-6 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 27 Mar | Vasilev | 3-6 2-6 | L |
| 24 Mar | Simundza | 3-6 6-4 3-6 | W |
| 10 Mar | Denolly | 4-6 3-6 | L |
| 4 Mar | Pavlovic | 6-2 6-4 | L |
| 3 Mar | Bouchelaghem | 6-3 6-2 | W |

