Odds
Player analysis
S. Ofner has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -1.2 to 12.7, with at least one match where S. Ofner was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving S. Ofner vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.
P. Carreno-Busta shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 272. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.5, meaning P. Carreno-Busta has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving P. Carreno-Busta vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 27 Mar | Cecchinato | 7-6 7-5 | W |
| 25 Mar | Canas | 7-6 6-4 | W |
| 23 Mar | Skatov | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 20 Mar | Baena | 6-7 6-2 1-6 | L |
| 18 Mar | Brancaccio | 6-0 6-4 | W |
5W 0L last 5
| 27 Mar | Martinez | 4-6 6-4 4-6 | W |
| 26 Mar | Quilez | 6-3 5-7 3-6 | W |
| 24 Mar | Gulin | 5-7 1-6 | W |
| 22 Mar | Baena | 4-6 3-6 | W |
| 21 Mar | Coppejans | 6-2 6-3 | W |

