P. Carreno-Busta has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.8, meaning P. Carreno-Busta has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving P. Carreno-Busta vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — P. Carreno-Busta has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -10 over recent matches.

J. Lehecka comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 28 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.8 to 20.0, with at least one match where J. Lehecka was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.