DubaiHard1/8-finals25 Feb 2026 · 13:20
P. Carreno-Busta
#117 · Spain
VS
J. Lehecka
#22 · Czech Republic
CARRENO-BUSTA
3.74
·
LEHECKA
1.32

Odds

Market
Carreno-Busta
Lehecka
Winner
3.74
1.32

Player analysis

P. Carreno-Busta has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.9 to 18.0, with at least one match where P. Carreno-Busta was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving P. Carreno-Busta vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 3.87Trend mixed

J. Lehecka comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.5, meaning J. Lehecka has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving J. Lehecka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -5.47Trend down

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWWL

3W 2L last 5

25 FebLehecka6-7 4-6L
24 FebShapovalov6-2 6-4W
22 FebNardi6-7 6-4 7-6W
21 FebZandschulp3-6 2-6W
17 FebHalys6-4 5-7 3-6L
Recent form bar chartLLWWL

2W 3L last 5

8 MarBaez6-4 6-1L
26 FebAuger-Aliassime6-3 7-6L
25 FebCarreno-Busta6-7 4-6W
24 FebNardi6-4 4-6 2-6W
19 FebFils3-6 3-6L

Hard court stats

Carreno-Busta
Stat
Lehecka
59.3%
Win rate
60.6%
210–144
W–L
129–84

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces6
Double faults1