MadridClay1/16-finals8 Apr 2025 · 14:50
P. Carreno-Busta
#94 · Spain
VS
J. Paul
#514 · Switzerland

Odds

Market
Carreno-Busta
Paul
Winner

Player analysis

P. Carreno-Busta has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.8, meaning P. Carreno-Busta has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving P. Carreno-Busta vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — P. Carreno-Busta has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -10 over recent matches.

DS -4.78Trend up

J. Paul comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.2, meaning J. Paul has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving J. Paul vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Paul has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.

DS -2.21Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Carreno-Busta
Stat
Paul
64.6%
Win rate
56.5%
267–146
W–L
83–64

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces2
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults1

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

10
Clay 10
P. Carreno-Busta vs J. Paul head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MadridClay1/16-finalsCarreno-Busta6-2 6-1