Odds
Player analysis
B. Shelton comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.2, meaning B. Shelton has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. Serve quality has been average (7.1/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — B. Shelton has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -36 over recent matches.
P. Carreno-Busta shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 272. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.5, meaning P. Carreno-Busta has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving P. Carreno-Busta vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 3 Apr | Tirante | 7-6 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 2 Apr | Zhang | 7-6 7-6 | W |
| 22 Mar | Shevchenko | 7-6 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 8 Mar | Tien | 6-7 6-4 3-6 | L |
| 6 Mar | Opelka | 6-7 7-6 6-3 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 29 Mar | Ruiz | 4-6 2-6 | L |
| 28 Mar | Ofner | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 27 Mar | Martinez | 4-6 6-4 4-6 | W |
| 26 Mar | Quilez | 6-3 5-7 3-6 | W |
| 24 Mar | Gulin | 5-7 1-6 | W |

