Odds
Player analysis
P. Carreno-Busta has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.9, meaning P. Carreno-Busta has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving P. Carreno-Busta vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
A. Tabilo shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 52. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 4 May | Damm | 6-3 6-3 | W |
| 25 Apr | Fokina | 6-3 6-3 | L |
| 23 Apr | Fucsovics | 4-6 7-6 6-2 | W |
| 29 Mar | Ruiz | 4-6 2-6 | L |
| 28 Mar | Ofner | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 3 May | Bergs | 4-6 6-4 3-6 | W |
| 2 May | Quinn | 3-6 6-3 6-7 | W |
| 1 May | Buse | 4-6 0-6 | W |
| 30 Apr | Bautista-Agut | 6-4 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 24 Apr | Lehecka | 3-6 7-6 6-4 | L |

