Odds
Player analysis
P. Carreno-Busta has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.9, meaning P. Carreno-Busta has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving P. Carreno-Busta vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
S. Wawrinka comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.3, meaning S. Wawrinka has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving S. Wawrinka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 4 May | Damm | 6-3 6-3 | W |
| 25 Apr | Fokina | 6-3 6-3 | L |
| 23 Apr | Fucsovics | 4-6 7-6 6-2 | W |
| 29 Mar | Ruiz | 4-6 2-6 | L |
| 28 Mar | Ofner | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 4 May | Travaglia | 6-4 6-7 1-6 | W |
| 28 Apr | Ofner | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 13 Apr | Norrie | 6-4 6-7 6-4 | L |
| 6 Apr | Baez | 7-5 7-5 | L |
| 24 Mar | Martineau | 6-2 4-6 6-7 | L |

