Kigali 2ClaySemi-finals14 Mar 2026 · 09:35
M. Cecchinato
#188 · Italy
VS
A. Gea
#139 · France
CECCHINATO
2.91
·
GEA
1.46

Odds

Market
Cecchinato
Gea
Winner
2.91
1.46
Total
line 20.0
1.39
Over 20.0
2.59
Under 20.0
Total
line 20.5
1.5
Over 20.5
2.28
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
2.38
-2.0 games
1.61
+2 games
Handicap
games
1.83
-2.5 games
1.83
+2.5 games

Player analysis

M. Cecchinato comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.3 to 20.7, with at least one match where M. Cecchinato was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving M. Cecchinato vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.

DS 1.64Trend mixed

A. Gea comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.2, meaning A. Gea has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving A. Gea vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Gea has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.

DS -5.25Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Cecchinato
Stat
Gea
61.2%
Win rate
50%
443–281
W–L
57–57

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults4