M. Cecchinato comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.3 to 20.7, with at least one match where M. Cecchinato was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving M. Cecchinato vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.

J. Nicod has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -3.1 to 34.1, with at least one match where J. Nicod was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Nicod has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.