M. Cecchinato comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +2.4 with a downward trend. M. Cecchinato is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving M. Cecchinato vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+31) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

H. Wendelken has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -17.8 to 18.8, with at least one match where H. Wendelken was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving H. Wendelken vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.