TokyoHardFinal23 Sep 2025 · 06:25
J. M. Cerundolo
#71 · Argentina
VS
S. Shimabukuro
#112 · Japan

Odds

Market
Cerundolo
Shimabukuro
Winner

Player analysis

J. M. Cerundolo has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.6 to 21.9, with at least one match where J. M. Cerundolo was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving J. M. Cerundolo vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+41) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 4.92Trend mixed

S. Shimabukuro comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.0, meaning S. Shimabukuro has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving S. Shimabukuro vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Shimabukuro has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -26 over recent matches.

DS -8.04Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Cerundolo
Stat
Shimabukuro
42%
Win rate
58.8%
21–29
W–L
163–114

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %50%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted60%
Aces4
Double faults4
BP saved80%
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults4