L. Marmousez arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.

R. Ciurnelli comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 2. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.3, meaning R. Ciurnelli has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving R. Ciurnelli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Ciurnelli has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.