Odds
Player analysis
R. Hijikata comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +0.4 with a downward trend. R. Hijikata is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving R. Hijikata vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Hijikata has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -21 over recent matches.
F. Cobolli has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.1, meaning F. Cobolli has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving F. Cobolli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 3 Apr | Tiafoe | 4-6 6-3 2-6 | L |
| 1 Apr | Kovacevic | 4-6 2-6 | W |
| 17 Mar | Sweeny | 3-6 2-6 | W |
| 17 Mar | Walton | 6-3 6-7 6-1 | L |
| 11 Mar | Norrie | 4-6 2-6 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 21 Mar | Collignon | 7-5 6-3 | L |
| 9 Mar | Tiafoe | 1-6 2-6 | L |
| 6 Mar | Kecmanovic | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 1 Mar | Tiafoe | 7-6 6-4 | W |
| 28 Feb | Kecmanovic | 6-7 6-3 4-6 | W |

