AcapulcoHardFinal1 Mar 2026 · 04:10
F. Cobolli
#13 · Italy
VS
F. Tiafoe
#19 · USA
COBOLLI
2.07
·
TIAFOE
1.85

Odds

Market
Cobolli
Tiafoe
Winner
2.07
1.85

Player analysis

F. Cobolli shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 35. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +11.1 (range: -8.8 to 24.7). Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+28) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 11.11Trend up

F. Tiafoe has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.1, meaning F. Tiafoe has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving F. Tiafoe vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.

DS -5.14Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Cobolli
Stat
Tiafoe
52%
Win rate
57.1%
78–72
W–L
248–186

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved80%
Aces5
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces6
Double faults1

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

13
Hard 13
F. Cobolli vs F. Tiafoe head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
ATP Indian WellsHardIndian Wells - 1/16-finalsTiafoe1-6 2-6
AcapulcoHardFinalCobolli7-6 6-4
WashingtonHard1/8-finalsTiafoe1-6 4-6
ATP Delray BeachHardQuarter-finalsTiafoe4-6 2-6