L. Nardi comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.7, meaning L. Nardi has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving L. Nardi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

F. Cobolli shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 35. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +11.1 (range: -8.8 to 24.7). Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+28) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.