Odds
Player analysis
F. Cobolli shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 54. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.1, meaning F. Cobolli has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving F. Cobolli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
A. Rinderknech comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.5, meaning A. Rinderknech has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. Rinderknech vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Rinderknech has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 9 Mar | Tiafoe | 1-6 2-6 | L |
| 6 Mar | Kecmanovic | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 1 Mar | Tiafoe | 7-6 6-4 | W |
| 28 Feb | Kecmanovic | 6-7 6-3 4-6 | W |
| 27 Feb | Wu | 6-7 1-6 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 10 Mar | Alcaraz | 6-7 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 26 Feb | Rublev | 6-2 6-4 | L |
| 25 Feb | Draper | 7-5 6-7 6-4 | W |
| 24 Feb | Marozsan | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 17 Feb | Alcaraz | 6-4 7-6 | L |

